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高盛:料明年美國新屋開工量將大減 降至90年代初以來最差
阿思達克 10-23 23:49
高盛(GS.US)表示,需求下滑和抵押貸款利率飆升,或導致美國房屋銷售出現30年來最慢的時期。 高盛經濟學家報告中稱,房屋買賣活動和價格最大跌勢已經過去,但最近抵押貸款利率上升,以及未來利率或保持在高位,為對利率最敏感的行業帶來阻力。 高盛預期,2024年銷量將跌至380萬間,較今年預測的目標下跌6.2%,將較2020年高位下滑40%以上。同時,高盛預計新屋開工量將下跌至134萬間,下降4%,延續2022年春季的趨勢。
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