植耀輝:美股急挫納指跌2.5% 港股恐下試250天線
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(21日)大跌,地緣政局加上Walmart(WMT.US)及Home Depot(HD.US)展望審慎,加劇投資者悲觀情緒。道指大跌近700點或2.1%,標普500指數及納指則分別下跌2%及2.5%。道指成份股中Home Depot便大跌超過7%。
港股方面,雖然A股反覆造好,但港股在大型科技股急挫拖累,恆指下跌超過357點或1.7%,科指跌幅更達到3.6%。「ATMJ」跌幅顯著,「ATM」跌幅均逾4%,京東(09618.HK)更大跌8.5%,成為恆指及科指中表現最差成份股,而單是「ATMJ」四隻股份,便已拖累恆指下跌248點。另外匯控(00005.HK)在績後沽壓顯著,股價下跌近2%,收報57.6元。反觀恆指(00011.HK)雖然業績按年倒退,但末期息高於預期,股價反彈3.3%。
業績期已正式開展,緊隨匯控及恆生,阿里-SW(09988.HK)、網易-S(09999.HK)、港交所(00388.HK)及一眾本地地產股將陸續公布季績,表現將對後市有一定啟示。不過恆指走勢確有所轉差,昨日(21日)連50天線亦告失守,加上筆者多次強調250月線之關鍵水平仍未能收復,後市恐怕將進一步轉差,下方250天線20,000點不宜有失。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
**********美股復市急挫 港股續看2萬關支持
耀才研究部稱,美股隔晚(21日)在假期復市後急跌,三大指數均跌超過2%。經隔晚之急跌,道指年內升幅已全數蒸發並轉跌。今晚(22日)聯儲局將公布上月議息會議記錄,料會對未來加息有較明確方向。至於反映中概股表現之金龍指數亦跌近3%。
港股方面,恆指昨日下跌357點或1.7%,科指亦大跌3.6%,主要受權重科技股拖累;A股昨日則反覆造好,上綜指數亦重上3,000點關口,若A股能重拾上升動力,對港股亦有望帶來支持;不過短期仍要關注重磅股如阿里-SW(09988.HK)及港交所(00388.HK)等業績表現,畢竟對市場投資氣氛會有較大啟示。
至於技術分析方面,恆指昨日正式失守50天線(20,764點),形態似進一步轉差;另外MACD熊差又再度擴闊,後市恐怕仍會反覆下跌,而下一關鍵支持位為250天線,亦即20,000點附近水平。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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