植耀輝: 美股回穩納指升0.74% 恆指續萬九點徘徊
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(14日)回穩,8月PPI數據略低於預期,另外資源及科技股有資金吸納,支持美股反彈,當中道指上升30點,收報31,135點,標普500指數及納指則分別上升0.34%及0.74%。
港股方面,昨日再度失守19,000點水平。受美股隔晚急跌拖累,恆指低開近400點雖曾見反彈,惟午後又再度顯著下跌,跌幅更一度超過500點,低見18,797點,收市亦反彈乏力,最終收報18,847點,下跌479點或2.5%,成交則維持在900億以上水平。成份股中以創科(00669.HK)跌幅最大,下跌一成,收報89.1元,隔晚其主要客戶HomeDepot(HD.US)股價急跌拖累其表現。至於新經濟股亦沽壓顯著,百度-SW(09888.HK)下跌5.7%,阿里-SW(09988.HK)及京東-SW(09618.HK)跌幅亦超過4%,取得遊戲版號之騰訊(00700.HK)及網易-S(09999.HK)分別下跌1.7%及2.1%。
至於個別資源股續見資金追捧,中海油(00883.HK)再升2.2%,煤炭股股價亦「硬淨」,兗礦能源(01171.HK)逆市上升近1%,神華(01088.HK)則僅微跌0.4%。
後市方面,恆指昨日再度失守19,000點水平,走勢又再度有轉弱跡象。由於隔晚美股回穩,預期港股再進一步下跌機會不大,惟始終未見利好消息支持,相信大市縱有反彈,幅度亦相當有限,且看能否先重上19,000點並企穩。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有創科及中海油股份)
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恆指仍然屬於浪低於浪以及易跌難升的格局
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(14日)美股輕微反彈,道指回升30點,納指彈0.7%。美國8月份PPI年增8.7%,低於市場預期的8.8%和7月的9.8%,連續兩個月按月下跌,令市場憧憬通脹部份見頂的信號,支持股市站穩。港股方面,由於美元走強拖累人民幣走勢,恆指再度下試月內低位,仍然屬於浪低於浪以及易跌難升的格局,黑期亦反映恆指繼續於18,800點水平爭持,指數未能升穿20天線的話亦不宜太過樂觀。
恆指技術走勢方面,指數MACD熊訊號擴大,同時有跌穿下跌三角形的勢頭,繼續下試低位的機會較大,目前先觀望能否重返8月24日低位19,189點之上,否則下一個位置則需要下試52周低位18,235點。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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