郭思治: 本月該有足夠時間讓大市再度試頂
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,昨天大市早段先高開542點至24,318點,其後再進一步升至24,534點方漸受規限,即其時大市已急步反彈達758點。由於升勢偏促,故引來不少伺高回吐之沽壓,而市勢亦漸趨反覆,且更一度輕回至24,302點,惟其時恆指仍較上日收市升526點。從技術上看,大市經昨天之反彈,恆指已成功重越50天線(24,044點)及20天線(24,016點),即整個大市已暫初步擺脫欲試底之弱態,現只待恆指再進一步重越10天線(24,525點)便可確認此點。當然,大市如欲再呈欲試頂之趨勢,首要的條件是恆指必須持續穩企於10天線之上,如能出現稍升離之形態則更好,因形勢該有利於大市下旬時份再試頂。而所指的頂,暫該為本月10日之高位25,303點。
6月份剩下十個交易日(包括今天計在內),只要再沒有利淡消息或事件出現,相信大市該有足夠時間再往上試頂。值得一提的是,6月份是半年結,一眾基金經理應該有相關粉色櫥窗活動,目前當然是為旗下投資基金爭取較佳之業績。或者,一眾大數據股份已在粉飾中,難怪騰訊(00700.HK)、阿里巴巴(09988.HK)、美團點評(03690.HK)及平安好醫生(01833.HK)等之表現一直優於大市。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)
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